Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.093718 1.467269e-01 0.209737 0.287529 0.378748 0.480452 0.600701
2026-01-04 0.033622 9.227467e-02 0.178991 0.301371 0.458777 0.646296 0.879564
2026-01-11 0.015703 7.434924e-02 0.176998 0.333993 0.545825 0.806131 1.137197
2026-01-18 0.005457 5.876129e-02 0.171882 0.358216 0.619865 0.949308 1.375355
2026-01-25 0.000389 4.090631e-02 0.155502 0.361139 0.662167 1.050411 1.560571
2026-02-01 NaN 2.073997e-02 0.123826 0.333936 0.658720 1.090159 1.667873
2026-02-08 NaN 6.994785e-03 0.092238 0.298828 0.638719 1.104624 1.740610
2026-02-15 NaN 2.105768e-03 0.076846 0.287762 0.651108 1.160066 1.863773
2026-02-22 NaN 5.906977e-04 0.071183 0.293750 0.688595 1.249020 2.029818
2026-03-01 NaN 4.141926e-08 0.062134 0.290521 0.710564 1.316121 2.167285
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.048826 0.274126 0.709553 1.350207 2.260920
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.052482 0.298645 0.776060 1.479473 2.480161
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.055849 0.324045 0.846810 1.618577 2.717698
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.054532 0.337533 0.898289 1.731485 2.922232
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.061332 0.372504 0.986151 1.896244 3.195586
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.064563 0.398091 1.058330 2.038975 3.440162
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.059601 0.401208 1.092224 2.127135 3.612465
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.044537 0.372375 1.069669 2.133469 3.675233
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.029330 0.335081 1.028905 2.111382 3.698384
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.022904 0.323301 1.032307 2.152772 3.806115
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.021317 0.329677 1.069159 2.243702 3.981201
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.017773 0.326239 1.087170 2.306415 4.117847
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.012100 0.308768 1.077252 2.326654 4.196068